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Coffee Prices Drop with Rain Forecast in Brazil and Profit-Taking

Maria Paula

Arabica coffee prices saw a sharp decline on Wednesday (26) in the New York Stock Exchange, with front-month contracts dropping between 595 and 655 points. The main driver behind this downturn was the forecast of widespread rainfall in Brazil’s key producing regions, easing concerns about supply. In London, robusta coffee also posted significant losses, falling by up to $154 per ton. This movement reflects a correction following recent price surges and profit-taking by investors.

Beyond the weather impact, experts suggest that the market is undergoing a natural adjustment after its recent strong rally. The rainfall recorded in the second half of March is viewed as a positive factor for the 2025/26 crop development, particularly for bean maturation. However, uncertainties remain about the actual extent of this benefit, as previous below-average precipitation had already affected fruit filling. Consequently, market volatility persists, and future price movements will depend on further climate updates.

In the domestic market, coffee prices followed the international trend, showing declines in key producing regions. Arabica type 6/7 saw losses in Guaxupé/MG (-1.22%), Varginha/MG (-1.14%), and Franca/SP (-1.13%). Meanwhile, peeled cherry coffee fell in Poços de Caldas/MG (-0.73%), Varginha/MG (-1.10%), and Campos Gerais/MG (-1.12%). These figures highlight the importance of closely monitoring weather conditions and global market trends to adjust commercialization strategies effectively. Fonte: Noticias Agrícolas Café finaliza a sessão desta 4ª feira com quedas em NY e Londres após... - Notícias Agrícolas

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