Coffee Prices: Arabica Rises in NY, While Robusta Declines in London

Coffee prices closed the session on Monday (24) in opposite directions in international markets, reflecting the lack of new fundamentals and the influence of technical factors. According to StoneX analyst Fernando Maximiliano, prices have been operating within a lateral range, supported by concerns about the limited supply of Brazil’s 2025 harvest. The Arabica and Robusta coffee markets are following divergent trends, with expectations of a decline in Arabica production, while Robusta output is projected to grow by approximately 20% compared to the previous cycle.

Climatic conditions remain a crucial factor in price volatility. Reports indicate that high temperatures during the Brazilian summer compromised the development of coffee cherries for the new crop, raising concerns about the 2026 production. The Ministry of Agriculture confirmed that the 2024/2025 summer was one of the hottest since 1961, with an average temperature 0.34°C above the historical norm. On the New York Stock Exchange, Arabica futures contracts posted significant gains, while on the London Exchange, Robusta saw moderate declines, impacted by the expected increase in production in Vietnam.

In the domestic market, coffee prices showed mixed fluctuations. Type 6 Arabica registered declines in some regions, such as Espírito Santo do Pinhal/SP, but saw increases in Machado/MG and Guaxupé/MG. Meanwhile, peeled cherry coffee recorded significant appreciation, especially in Espírito Santo do Pinhal/SP, where it rose by 3.70%. This scenario highlights the need for producers to remain vigilant, monitoring climatic impacts and global market movements to define commercialization strategies and risk mitigation. Fonte: Noticias Agrícolas Mercado do café segue sob expectativa da produtividade da safra brasileira 2025 - Notícias Agrícolas