Coffee Market in Motion: Arabica Declines While Robusta Rises

Coffee prices showed mixed movements in international exchanges this Tuesday (18). Arabica maintained its downward trend from last week, reflecting concerns over Brazil’s deliveries and the impact of high prices on global consumption. Analysts indicate that if the May/25 contract breaks below the $4.00/lb level in New York, the market could face further declines. Despite a 20% year-to-date increase driven by expectations of a smaller Brazilian crop in 2025/26 and low global stocks, arabica ended the day with significant losses, dropping as much as 310 points in the July/25 contract.

On the other hand, robusta coffee moved in the opposite direction, posting gains across key contracts. The March/25 contract rose by $40 per ton, while the September/25 contract advanced by $47, reflecting strong demand and concerns over global supply. This performance underscores robusta’s resilience amid market volatility, with investors still assessing the impact of weather conditions and the current crop’s commercialization on future prices.

In the domestic market, sales of the 2024/25 crop reached 88% of total production as of February 11, according to Safras & Mercado. However, prices in Brazil followed New York’s downward trend, closing the day with sharp declines. Arabica Type 6 fell by up to 4.81% in Machado/MG, while pulped natural arabica dropped as much as 6.67% in Espírito Santo do Pinhal/SP. The price downturn reflects external market pressure, signaling that producers remain cautious amid volatility and focused on strategic selling opportunities.

Fonte: Noticias Agrícolas Café: Após máximas históricas arábica encerra sessão desta 3ª feira em queda... - Notícias Agrícolas