Challenging Weather and Reduced Stocks Drive Prices Up

February’s weather forecasts are raising concerns among coffee growers, as they indicate below-average rainfall and above-normal temperatures. This period is crucial for the final development of the 25/26 crop, and any climate variation may impact coffee quality. While recent rains have brought some optimism, temperature behavior in the coming days will be key to ensuring a high-quality harvest.

On the supply side, lower stocks in Brazil are positively influencing prices. According to Cecafé, Brazilian coffee exports in January fell by 1.6%, totaling 3.98 million bags. This decline reinforces concerns about global supply and contributes to price increases on international exchanges. Arabica futures in New York saw strong gains, with the March/25 contract rising 1,835 points to close at 431.80 cents/lbp. Robusta also followed the upward trend, with gains ranging from $154 to $164 per ton.

The Brazilian physical market reflected this positive movement, with increases in both arabica type 6 and pulped cherry prices. Franca/SP recorded the highest appreciation, with a 2.54% rise, reaching R$ 2,830.00 per bag. Pulped cherry coffee saw an increase of up to 3.64% in Poços de Caldas/MG, traded at R$ 2,850.00. With a combination of challenging weather and limited supply, domestic prices remain strong, and the upward trend could persist in the coming days. Fonte: Noticias Agrícolas Previsão de chuvas abaixo do esperado faz mercado do café encerrar 4ª feira... - Notícias Agrícolas